WrapManager's Wealth Management Blog
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BlackRock Sizes Up Hurricane Relief and the Fiscal Cliff

Posted by WrapManager's Investment Policy Committee

September 14, 2017

We see more political uncertainty ahead...

Washington averted an imminent fiscal crisis, but the result could be a steep fiscal cliff in December or early 2018. We see heightened political uncertainty toward year-end as the U.S. Congress must revisit lifting the federal borrowing limit and funding the government. We could see this delaying and reducing the scope of any tax reform.
 
Read an excerpt of Richard Turnill's weekly commentary below, or view the entire weekly investment commentary here.

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Economic/Market Outlook Blackrock Inc Money Manager Commentary

BlackRock Evaluates Indifferent Investor Sentiment

August 17, 2017
Investor sentiment shows more signs of fatigue than euphoria... Equity markets have greeted positive earnings reports largely with indifference. Investor sentiment shows more signs of fatigue than euphoria, even as stock markets have repeatedly reached new highs this year. Yet we see solid fundamentals and returns in the second half, with the latter largely tracking earnings growth. Read an excerpt of Richard Turnill's weekly commentary below, or view the entire weekly investment commentary here. [+] Read More

BlackRock Digs Into the Metals and Mining Rally

August 3, 2017
We see stability in commodities prices but are selective in related stocks and bonds. Industrial metals have generally outperformed their commodity peers this year, with copper prices hitting a two-year high last week. A big reason for the rally: production has been falling from last year’s levels. This is a result of firms cutting capital expenditures after multi-year price slides. Read an excerpt of Richard Turnill's weekly commentary below, or view the entire weekly investment commentary here. [+] Read More

BlackRock Examines Momentum Trading in 2017

June 29, 2017
We like momentum in today’s economic environment, even if its performance could be prone to short-lived reversals. The momentum style factor — stocks that are trending higher in price — has been on a tear in 2017. Sustained above-trend economic growth and solid earnings prospects could help extend the gains, but it may be a bumpy ride. Momentum has historically outrun the broader market, but with periodic sharp drops. The biggest dips in its relative performance have coincided with recessions and financial crises. Our research shows momentum tends to perform best during steady economic expansions — and we see this cycle having ample room to run. Read the three key points of BlackRock's weekly commentary below, or view the entire three-page weekly investment commentary now. [+] Read More

BlackRock Evaluates Emerging Markets and European Equities

June 8, 2017
When contrarian becomes consensus... Many investors have flocked to emerging market (EM) and European equities this year, as money has broadly flowed back into risk assets. Our analysis suggests these equity trades are becoming consensus, and EM and European stocks are no longer the contrarian trades that they were for much of 2016. Read the three key points of BlackRock's weekly commentary below, or view the entire four-page weekly investment commentary now. [+] Read More

BlackRock Releases 2Q 2017 Global Investing Outlook

April 20, 2017
Global growth expectations are on the rise, and we see room for more upside surprises... Reflation is going global. The signs include a rebound in inflation expectations, a bottoming out in core inflation and wages, and a synchronized pick-up in economic activity indicators and corporate earnings estimates. Read the key points of BlackRock's analysis below. Or, download the complete commentary (PDF). [+] Read More

BlackRock: Tax Reform and Trump Trades

February 20, 2017
We see potential for volatility in the coming months as more reform details emerge. Richard Turnill, BlackRock’s Global Chief Investment Strategist, discusses tax reform and the reflation trade. Turnhill was previously Chief Investment Strategist for BlackRock’s fixed income and active equity businesses, and has also led the Global Equity investment team. Read an excerpt of his weekly commentary below, or view the entire weekly investment commentary here. [+] Read More

BlackRock: Returns in a Reflationary Environment

February 7, 2017
We have largely maintained our assumptions for equity returns while increasing those for fixed income. Richard Turnill, BlackRock’s Global Chief Investment Strategist, gives us the week in review. Turnhill was previously Chief Investment Strategist for BlackRock’s fixed income and active equity businesses, and has also led the Global Equity investment team. Read an excerpt of his weekly commentary below, or view the entire weekly investment commentary here. [+] Read More

BlackRock 2017 Investing Outlook

January 2, 2017
Global growth expectations appear to be picking up after an extended slide... BlackRock expects U.S.-led reflation (rising nominal growth, wages and inflation) to accelerate, and sees fiscal expansion gradually replacing monetary policy as an economic growth and market driver around the world. They discuss these topics, as well as the impact of technological change, the risk of a China credit bubble and the dynamics of investor risk appetite, in their 2017 Investing Outlook. Read the key points of BlackRock's analysis. Or, download the complete commentary (PDF). [+] Read More

BlackRock Update November 2016

December 5, 2016
U.S. equity indexes hit records; U.S. dollar index surges to nearly 14-year highs. Richard Turnill, BlackRock’s Global Chief Investment Strategist, summarizes the week highlights news to watch in the week ahead. Read an excerpt of his weekly commentary below, or download the complete commentary as a PDF. [+] Read More